So I am still very tired. There is news but it is all the same. People talk about a new government and maybe the plotter Allawi coming as the new ruler. But remember that the people have been saying this (rumors) for over a year. Of course Allawi is trying to work with everyone including Sunni terrorist politicians and the Kurdish Sunni extremist because he always wants power. But still the people who did fight Saddam hard (Hakim and Da'wa and Kurdish parties) are together and if they beat Saddam then I do not think Allawi can beat them! So this is not truly news, just old stories back again. Also more killings, and this is not news for many years. And heat. And still I am not smoking much and in a week I have had two cigarettes.
I think that the USA will leave Iraq sometime or many of the American soldiers will leave. Then what is going to happen? I do not like the American army in Iraq and making checkpoints and driving around and I do not think anyone would like another nation army to be in their cities and homes. So what will happen when the USA will leave?
I do not think Baghdad would be better. Right now the Sunni terrorists will attack the Americans and the Shi'a, so only the Shi'a will be attacked. Also the Americans try to stop some of the Shi'a from attacking Sunnis (sometimes innocent ones and sometimes terrorists) so without the Americans the Shi'ite fighters will be more powerful. What does that mean?
In Baghdad it means more fighting but also some areas can be safer if the Shi'ite militias can act like they want. In other areas like last year in February probably some groups like the Mahdi Army will commit crimes against innocent Sunnis and more violence will be there. In the south of Iraq I think that the Shi'ite groups should take over security and be very tough. It is necessary to make sure that the people are safe and the shrines in Najaf and Karbala are not atacked like in Samarra. The Iraqi forces or the other armed groups like Badr should make many checkpoint and check everyone coming to the south. This is how north Iraq with the peshmerga is usually without big bombings like in Baghdad and other places in Iraq. Better to have safety somewhere in Iraq than nowhere in Iraq.
Al-Qa'ida is strong so the USA will hopefully hurt them before they leave. The solution for the south of Iraq is important to keep al-Qa'ida from coming there. Hopefully less Qa'ida will be around in Baghdad or in Anbar (killed) because we know that they will come from Anbar to Baghdad to hurt all the people and the government.
When the USA leaves also I think other countries will try to be stronger in Iraq. This means especially Iran and Saudi Arabia and Arabs. Iran is supporting many people and without the USA will be less scared. Saudi Arabia already has its people coming as terrorists and other Arabs support the terrorists. Jordan hates the Shi'a and has said this and same with Egypt so without the USA these Arab countries will try to hurt the Shi'a and the government. Iraq is a site of battle for everyone unfortunately, without many Americans there I think there will just be more of others coming to fight their own fights in Baghdad. None of them care about Iraq or Iraqis, and usually they hate Iraqis or at least hate the Shi'a.
I thought after Saddam Iraq would be good and free and strong, but many people do not want this and now it is a war every day. Some day I hope Iraq is strong and has peace and can deal with the other countries in the area and teach a lesson to them if they want to hurt Iraqis. I think I will write later about all of the countries near Iraq and how they hurt Iraq. Iraq is a country with rivers and holy places and deserts and mountains and history and many kinds of different people. But it is surrounded by bastards and criminals.